Bowl Projections Louisville Football Week 2
Louisville's prospects of going bowling are looking good, with their projected record improving and win probabilities shifting.
Louisville's football team has started the season with two wins, setting them on a promising path towards a bowl game. This should come as no surprise to most fans, but the bowl projections and adjustments in win totals do add an element of intrigue.
Initially ranked at #40 in Bill Connelly's SP+, Louisville dropped to #51 after their intense game against Georgia Tech. However, their impressive victory over Murray State propelled them to #27. These wins have also positively impacted ESPN's FPI projections for the team. The projected record for the Cardinals has improved from 6.9-5.2 (7-5 in reality) to 8.3-3.9 (8-4), giving them a 95.1% chance of reaching bowl eligibility. Let's take a closer look at how FPI predicts their chances of winning each remaining game.
The projections don't reveal anything too shocking. With N.C. State, Pitt, and Kentucky appearing more vulnerable than expected, the win probability numbers have undergone significant shifts. The most notable change is Louisville now being projected to beat Kentucky. Additionally, Miami's upset of Texas A&M has increased their win probability against the Cardinals.
Looking at the potential bowl games, the Sun Bowl remains the favorite, followed closely by the Pinstripe Bowl. While some may be excited about the possibility of spending the holidays on the border in El Paso, recent history suggests that this may not come to fruition.
Overall, Louisville's strong start to the season has improved their chances of reaching a bowl game. With several winnable games ahead and favorable projections, fans have reason to be optimistic. As the season progresses, we will see if the Cardinals can maintain their momentum and secure a spot in a prestigious bowl game.