LSU vs Alabama Predictions - NCAAF Week 10 Betting Odds, Spreads and Picks 2023
LSU Tigers take on the Crimson Tide in a highly anticipated SEC game; betting picks expect a high-scoring matchup.
The highly anticipated SEC matchup between the LSU Tigers and the Alabama Crimson Tide is finally here. Both teams come into this game with impressive winning streaks, but our betting predictions suggest that it will be a challenging night for both defenses.
Despite not being one of Nick Saban's most talented teams, Alabama has managed to win six straight games and remains undefeated in SEC play. Their path to another division title includes a crucial game against Brian Kelly's LSU Tigers.
Last year's meeting between these two teams ended in an upset, with LSU pulling off a thrilling overtime victory as 13.5-point underdogs. Oddsmakers are expecting another close matchup this year, with Alabama favored by a field goal.
Alabama has responded well to their early-season loss to Texas, winning six consecutive games and going 4-1 against the spread in SEC play. Although their offense may not be as dominant as in previous years, quarterback Jalen Milroe and the Tide have made significant improvements. Milroe's explosive arm has been a key factor, as he ranks second in the nation in yards per attempt and has performed well in conference games.
The LSU defense has struggled this season, ranking poorly in opponent yards per play and plays allowed of 20+ yards. Additionally, they are dealing with injuries to key players in their secondary and defensive line. This sets the stage for Milroe and the Alabama offense to have a successful game.
However, LSU quarterback Jayden Daniels should not be overlooked. He has been performing exceptionally well this season, leading the nation's top-rated offense and guiding the Tigers to a 6-2 record. Daniels leads the country in yards per attempt and has an impressive touchdown to interception ratio. He also has a strong supporting cast of offensive weapons.
While Alabama's defense is the toughest challenge Daniels has faced all season, he had a solid performance against them in last year's meeting. The Alabama defense has shown vulnerability to deep passes, which plays into Daniels' strengths. This, combined with a suspect LSU defense, suggests that this game could be high-scoring.
In fact, LSU has been involved in high-scoring games all season, going over the total in all eight of their games. Considering that Alabama is expected to have success moving the ball, the total set for this game seems too low. Our best bet is to take the Over 60.5.
In terms of a same-game parlay, we recommend taking Jayden Daniels to score an anytime touchdown, as he has been a dual-threat for LSU this season. On the Alabama side, wide receiver Jermaine Burton is a strong candidate to find the end zone, given his deep threat ability and chemistry with Milroe.
The spread for this game initially favored Alabama by 3.5 points, but early action has shifted the line to Alabama -3. While we lean towards Alabama due to their stronger defense, LSU's offense could still pose a challenge. However, we believe that Alabama's defense will make key plays when needed.
As for the total, it opened at 60 and has slightly increased to 60.5. We believe that the total is still too low and would take the Over up to 63.5. Previous matchups between LSU and Alabama have resulted in high-scoring games, with the Over hitting in three out of the last four meetings.
Overall, this SEC showdown promises to be an exciting and high-scoring game. Both teams have their strengths and weaknesses, but we expect a close and competitive matchup.
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